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The Real Scandal at Goldman Sachs: The Stock Price

Yahoo Finance

 

daniel-gross
 
, On Thursday June 16, 2011, 7:43 am EDT

What's the biggest scandal surrounding Goldman Sachs (GS), the bank everybody loves to hate? Take your pick. There's last year's $550 million settlement with the Securities and Exchange Commission over its role in constructing securities related to subprime bonds. Or the fact that a big chunk of the taxpayer cash used to bail out insurer AIG went into Goldman's sacks.  Or the $10 million fine it received from Massachusetts this week over its practice of holding "trading huddles" with selected clients.  Or the continuing debate over whether Goldman executives testified accurately to Congress when they discussed the firm's subprime trading position. Ooh, ooh, I know. How about its dealings with Libya's sovereign wealth fund, which are now being investigated by federal authorities? Others, like Matt Taibbi of Rolling Stone, say it is the firm's general vampire-squid nature.

Here's the real scandal: the performance of Goldman's stock during the tenure of CEO Lloyd Blankfein.

Blankfein came up through Goldman's trading ranks, and his ascension represented a triumph of the sharp-edged traders over the more genteel investment bankers who usually shared custody of the firm. (The battle for the soul of Goldman between these two branches is a theme of big narrative histories like Charles Ellis's The Partnership: The Making of Goldman Sachs and William Cohan's Money and Power: How Goldman Came to Rule the World .) And under Blankfein, Goldman seems repeatedly to have run into trouble by continually searching for an edge, regardless of the consequences. Goldman in recent years has operated more like a cut-throat hedge fund than a white-shoe investment bank — except without the results.

Lets look at the tape. Blankfein was named as the successor to Henry Paulson on June 2, 2006, pending Paulson's confirmation, which came on June 28, 2006. He's run the firm as CEO for almost five years.

Now look at this five-year chart of Goldman's stock. It closed on June 28, 2006, at $146.49, and today it trades at about $135. The stock is down 7.8 percent under his reign. Goldman's stock has paid a dividend of about $1.40 per share for the past several years. So, adjusted for dividends, according to Yahoo! Finance, the total return under Blankfein has been -3.5 percent. Investors would have done much better leaving their money in a bank and collecting minuscule interest payments.

We'll concede that it has been a rough several years for the financial services industry and for the market as a whole. Here's a five-year chart comparing Goldman to the S&P 500 and to the KBW Bank Index. Over the past five years, Goldman has outperformed the sad sack bank index by a significant margin but has underperformed the S&P 500. Goldman survived the 2008 panic in better shape than most of its rivals, in part because the Federal Reserve let it and other highly leveraged investment banks access funds. But Goldman didn't exactly light it up as the credit and stock markets bounced back. (Here's a two-year chart of Goldman against the S&P 500 and the KBW Bank Index.)

Besides, Goldman would be insulted if it were to be compared to the typical member of the KBW Bank Index. This isn't some small-time, sleepy institution that takes deposits and lends money here and there. Goldman is an elite global institution, with the best minds and systems money can buy. It bestrides the globe like a colossus. It works harder and smarter than all the other firms. It has a culture in which failure and mediocrity aren't tolerated, much less rewarded. Up or out.

So imagine a bunch of senior Goldman executives hired an expensive portfolio manager and tasked him with creating positive returns. Next, imagine that the manager came back year after year and informed the executives that the best he could do was flat returns — but that he nonetheless deserved a multimillion-dollar payday. They'd laugh.

And yet while Goldman's returns have been subpar, CEO Lloyd Blankfein is getting paid like he's crushing the market. As the Financial Times reported this week, Blankfein "was paid $14m in 2010, more than 15 times his 2009 earnings, as senior bankers collectively shed their hair shirts." That' s just one year's compensation.

This highlights the real problem with Goldman Sachs. Like other investment banks, it isn't run for the benefit of its clients, or for the benefit of public shareholders, despite what its business principles say (#3: "Our goal is to provide superior returns to our shareholders.") No, Goldman and other publicly traded Wall Street firms are really ingenious machines for spinning revenues into compensation for insiders. If that means other stakeholders do poorly while executives make out great, that's just the way it goes.

This is really nothing new. In 1940 Fred Schwed, Jr., published the classic book on how brokers prosper while investors suffer. It was entitled Where Are the Customers' Yachts? Goldman Sachs stockholders might rightly ask Where Are the Shareholders' Yachts? The returns provided to them under Lloyd Blankfein in the past five years aren't enough to buy a ride on the Staten Island ferry.


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